Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.535044 1.932616 2.473982 3.301608 4.611757 6.772933 11.089175
2025-08-24 1.043075 1.443762 2.083072 3.294658 5.919368 12.966435 49.294041
2025-08-31 0.791361 1.152373 1.782014 3.146142 6.858595 22.712176 640.671112
2025-09-07 0.674902 1.026149 1.688680 3.318563 9.001972 57.790554 NaN
2025-09-14 0.582707 0.911826 1.566823 3.334750 10.907739 171.969462 NaN
2025-09-21 0.507219 0.808876 1.431211 3.224016 12.238915 698.072278 NaN
2025-09-28 0.452751 0.734218 1.333966 3.169723 14.041967 225651.864005 NaN
2025-10-05 0.430502 0.717534 1.362947 3.559322 21.624972 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.403385 0.685453 1.344737 3.776252 30.712278 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.372077 0.639294 1.278063 3.750987 37.447341 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.341069 0.589489 1.190546 3.580298 40.474360 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.322336 0.563942 1.163397 3.685998 56.209385 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.308254 0.547367 1.159309 3.928445 96.412130 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.290048 0.519225 1.115854 3.929842 135.448433 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.270069 0.484830 1.047298 3.739674 147.955003 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.260247 0.472871 1.044294 3.963172 335.964340 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.247757 0.453205 1.013390 3.984269 633.749726 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.233875 0.428899 0.963596 3.840692 831.553995 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.222440 0.409481 0.926541 3.770519 1459.450978 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.219949 0.411383 0.959380 4.277375 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.214247 0.404755 0.962397 4.562848 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.205465 0.389605 0.933104 4.529482 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.195416 0.370521 0.887267 4.304879 NaN NaN NaN